Tuesday, November 12, 2013

Thursday, November 7, 2013

market wrap November 7th 2013

Mortgage rates were flat to marginally lower today. The mortgage-backed-securities (MBS) that most directly inform lenders' rate sheets were surprisingly unperturbed by the morning's GDP data and other considerations, suggesting any chance of more sincere movement is being reserved for tomorrow's Employment Situation some positive and negative momentum finding relative balance in bond markets (of which MBS are a part). This was the case as early as late September, when rates were coming down from their highest levels in more than 2 years. They'd settled in to an exceptionally narrow range to wait out the government shutdown and were largely successful.

National Mortgage News - Originators Need to Create a Circle of Trust

National Mortgage News - Originators Need to Create a Circle of Trust

Monday, November 4, 2013

warket update November 4th 2013


Mortgage rates were mostly flat today, though some lenders offered slightly improved rate sheets compared to Friday afternoon.  The improvements would have been small enough to only be seen in the form of "closing costs" and/or lender credit, while the actual quoted interest rate between today and Friday would likely be the same.

The bond markets that underlie and best inform mortgage rates had a calm, but agreeable day.  There was a previously delayed report on Factory Orders added to the mix (along with the regularly scheduled Factory Orders report), but bonds didn't move on the news.  That may change with tomorrow, as the scheduled data is more prone to causing movement.

Tuesday, October 29, 2013

Market Wrap 10/29/2013





Mortgage rates continued flying their recent holding pattern just over 4 percent.   Most lenders' rate sheets were essentially unchanged compared to yesterday's latest.  Additionally, we never saw enough bond market movement during the course of the day to justify any mid-day changes.   The most prevalent Conforming  (best-execution) has been pinned to 4.125% with very little change in associated closing costs for a week now.

Because most lenders adjust rates in 1/8th (0.125%) increments, the next time the best-execution quote moves lower, 30yr fixed rates will be back at 4.0%.  Some lenders are offering that now, but it's not the norm, and may involve additional closing costs.  



 mortgage rate watch

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

BAC could face three more MBS investigations | 2013-10-23 | HousingWire

BAC could face three more MBS investigations | 2013-10-23 | HousingWire

market update 10/23/2013

Interest rates have clearly experienced an adjustment courtesy of jobs report, and the magnitude of the move is in line with the magnitude of the "miss" (in that we saw a good sized improvement in rates for a good-sized discrepancy between the actual jobs numbers and expectations).  From here, the remaining economic data will offer fine-tuning adjustments, either helping the continue the trend lower in rates, or suggesting a broader leveling-off process before the next big jobs report (which is only two weeks away due to shutdown-related rescheduling). 

Thursday, August 29, 2013

Mortgage Interest rate wrap

Mortgage rates began the day in slightly higher territory, but most lenders adjusted rate sheets mid-day, bringing the average rate just below yesterday's latest offerings.  Underlying market conditions are as much a culprit in the welcome turnaround as anything.  Conventional 30yr Fixed quotes for the most ideal scenarios are still most readily found at 4.625% though some lenders are an eighth higher or lower.

The typical correlations between economic data and market movements broke down to some extent (for the 4th time this week) due to lighter participation among traders and looming geopolitical uncertainty surrounding Syria. In the same way that markets refused to take rates any lower on Tuesday afternoon, they weren't eager to take them any higher this morning.  It continues to be the case that the biggest movements will be dependent on more thorough market participation, which isn't guaranteed to show up until next week.  

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Market Wrap August 28 2013

Mortgage rates bounced higher today, moving back in line with Monday's levels.  Conventional 30yr Fixed quotes for the most ideal scenarios are back to 4.625% on average though some lenders are an eighth higher or lower.  Frustratingly, this is one of those days where there is no overt "cause and effect" for the movement whereas yesterday's could more readily be chalked up to geopolitical risks surrounding Syria. 
Interestingly enough, when Syria seemed to have been a source of market movement yesterday, we characterized it as the easiest mainstream explanation, with the whole story being less simple.  It's those "less simple" factors that came into play today.  In an effort to be sure they received their adequate treatment yesterday, today's move higher was basically accounted for in advance. 

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

August 27 2013 Market Wrap ... Lock and load

Mortgage rates hit their lowest levels in nearly two weeks today.  Conventional 30yr Fixed quotes for the most ideal scenarios  are back down around 4.5% for some lenders and remain at 4.625% for many others.  The most visible, mainstream explanation for the move is the geopolitical risk surrounding Syria and the effect global markets.  Such risk can indeed motivate a "flight to safety" where investor demand tends to shift toward the least-risky assets like US Treasuries and out of more risky assets like stocks.  While these two things are indeed happening, the whole story isn't quite that simple

Monday, August 26, 2013

August 26 2013 market wrap

Mortgage rates continued lower today after a weaker-than-expected economic report this morning from the manufacturing sector.  Not only does weak economic data put downward pressure on interest rates in and of itself, it also helps firm up the consensus on when and how the Fed will begin reducing its asset purchases.  "Sooner and bigger" is worse for rates, but the more weak data, the more the implication shifts towards "later, less, or both." 

The data was out before lender rate sheets and markets had largely reacted to it by then, but MBS (the 'mortgage-backed-securities' that most directly influence mortgage rates) stayed strong all day, indirectly benefiting from the geopolitical risk that was hurting the stock market in the afternoon.  Some lenders released improved rate sheets throughout the day, resulting in a 30yr fixed rate moving firmly back down to 4.625% now , for the most ideal scenarios.  Some lenders are well-priced at 4.5%, but they are the exception.

Friday, August 23, 2013

Market Wrap August 23 2013

Mortgage rates shot significantly lower today after the New Home Sales report showed far fewer executed purchases contracts than expected for the month of July.  The move came in phases with most lenders releasing at least 2 rate sheets.  Some offered bigger improvements, while others got back in line with the rest of the pack.  The net effect was nearly a full eighth of a point drop in average rates for ideal scenarios, bringing best-execution down to 4.625% in many cases while some notable lenders remain at 4.75%. 

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

today August 21 Market Wrap

Mortgage rates rose moderately following today's release of Minutes from the July 31st FOMC Meeting.  There was no meaningful new information, but there was also nothing to challenge the notion that the Fed would move any less quickly to reduce the pace of asset purchases--widely expected on September 18th.  Had such a challenge been seen, rates may have benefited today.  As it stands, they've risen back in line with Monday's levels.  Some lenders are slightly worse, and a small majority slightly better.  All are close to their highest levels in more than 2 years.  Conventional 30yr Fixed quotes (best-execution) are centered on 4.75%.

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

market wrap

Mortgage rates moved lower today, recovering a good portion of yesterday's losses.  There were no significant economic events and much of the positivity for rates was a factor of overnight trading in Asia and Europe.  In short, the correction is just that--something that wouldn't have existed without recent sharp moves higher.  After moving up to a range of 4.75 to 4.875%, the most prevalent 30yr Fixed conventional rate quote(best-execution) is better characterized by a 4.625 to 4.75% range today--much better than yesterday, but still the 2nd or 3rd worst day in more than 2 years depending on the lender.

Monday, August 19, 2013

As we discussed on Friday, markets continue to take a defensive stance against the prospect of the Fed reducing the pace of their asset purchases.  As investors withdraw from bond markets, the prices of mortgage-backed-securities (MBS) fall, forcing lenders to offer higher rates.  The combination of the Fed asset-buying speculation, seasonal absences among market participants, and debate over the next Fed Chair nomination is creating a very uncertain environment where traders are more apt to trade according the momentum.  One analogy is that it's easier to go with the flow of the current than to swim against it .Mortgage interest rates were convincingly higher today, continuing last week's move toward the levels not seen in over two years.  Those levels were reached by some lenders today as they rose above July 5th's highs, while others aren't quite there yet.  

CalHFA Introduces New California Assistance ProgramsAugust 2013 the State of California Housing Finance Agency (CalHFA) has announced a new round of affordable lending programs designed to help well-prepared low and moderate income families become California homeowners.
New and old programs have been designed to give first time homebuyers access to programs that have special provisions that promote sustainable homeownership, responsible underwriting and a minimal required investment.

New Qualifying Guidelines

Consistent with it’s effort to create sustainable homeownership, CalHFA has published new qualifying guidelines for it’s programs.
Updated underwriting guidelines are consistent with QM (qualified mortgage) Rules.
While some of these guidelines are more restrictive that programs of the past, the increased attention to financial stability allows CalHFA to offer some pretty amazing programs.
Updated Eligibility Changes to CalHFA Loans:
  • Updated income limits – increased in many Counties
  • 2 Year Home Warranty required unless the purchase is new construction.
  • 43% Debt to Income (DTI) Limit
  • 8 Hour Homeowner Education Course required
  • Minimum Required Investment
    • Credit Score 640-679 = $1,500
    • Credit Score 680+ = $1,000
    • Required borrower contibution can be a gift
  • 103% Maximum Combined Loan to Value including Assistance Programs
  • Minimum Credit Score 640
  • Non Occupying Co-Signers allowed – income does not count toward limits

Wednesday, August 14, 2013

Mortgage rates leveled off today, after moving abruptly higher on Tuesday.  Bond markets, including MBS (the mortgage-backed-securities that most directly influence rates) bore little resemblance to yesterday's behavior.  Trading levels barely budged from start to finish, regardless of the morning's economic data and afternoon headlines.  On average, lenders were microscopically worse than yesterday's last rate sheets, but the effects would only be seen in closing costs.  The  most prevalent 30yr Fixed quote (best-execution) is still straddling 4.5% and 4.625%.  Paying points to buy down to lower rates might make sense for some scenarios, but is comparatively more expensive than it was on Monday (meaning the cost in terms of points to move from 4.5% to 4.25% is higher independent of yesterday's overall move higher).

Monday, August 12, 2013

Mortgage rates began the day in much better shape compared to Friday's latest offerings, but market volatility in the afternoon prompted most lenders to reprice. The net effect was a rate sheet environment that ended up in similar territory to Friday though a small portion of the improvement remained.

Thursday, August 8, 2013

Mortgage rates moved lower again today, hitting their best levels since July 23rd.  That achievement is mostly a factor of what has been an extremely flat rate environment for the past two weeks followed by a moderate improvements over the past 2 days.  The day was generally drama-free with the Jobless Claims report in the morning arriving in line with expectations and an average Treasury bond auction in the afternoon.  In general, the markets that underly mortgage rates are relatively detached from the day to day minutiae at the moment and prepared for bigger movement in the weeks to come.  Conventional 30yr Fixed best-execution remains at 4.5% and buydowns to 4.25% may make sense for some scenarios.

Wednesday, August 7, 2013

The week continues to be every bit as riveting as expected, which is to say it's not-at-all riveting. At least today's version of inconsequential drifting was the one where we move higher in price. The counterpoint is that not much of the gains in price made it through to rate sheets, largely because lenders held off on repricing worse yesterday and today's prices didn't even crest yesterday's 9:30am levels until after the 10yr Auction. When they did, it was by 2 and a half ticks. Not a huge deal, and not a huge gain on rate sheets. The auction was the only tradable event of the domestic session, with most of the volume and movement coming in the European hours. Tomorrow offers another chance to see if data can stir sleepy summertime markets with Jobless Claims. If the data and the auction result are on the same page, it could be good for bond markets, but lenders are likely to be less aggressive until Class A settlement is over. Tomorrow is roll day (prices will "drop" at the close as August Fannie/Freddie 30's are retired and September prices take over